Issued: 0530hrs Friday 19th October 2018
Duty forecaster: David Hulse
Some heavy downpours at first for Spain and Portugal. Fine for many central areas but colder with rain in the north.
Areas of rain will circulate around low pressure over Spain, Portugal and the Balearics, with a risk of localized heavy downpours and flooding at first, although the rain will turn lighter and more showery for many parts as the low moves south. Corsica, Sardinia and the southwest of Italy will have showers, some heavy but much of Italy and the Adriatic will be dry with a lot of sunshine. Scattered showers and sunny spells for Greece and Turkey.
Possibly some showers in the far south of France but much of France, the Low Countries, Germany, Switzerland and Austria will be dry with sunny spell. Most of Poland will be dry too but with an increasing risk of showers over Central / Eastern Europe over towards the Black Sea coast.
Rain spreads from the west into Norway and, later, Sweden but much of the rest of Scandinavia and the Baltic States will be dry with some sunshine.
Away from any rain or showers, still reasonably warm for Central and Southern Europe with highs in the low to mid 20s and locally hot in Southern Turkey. Progressively cooler further north and cold for the north of Scandinavia.
Showers will drift north across Spain and Portugal, with the threat of heavy rain at first in the south but any remaining showers in the Balearics are likely to be light. Isolated light showers in the south of Italy but most of Corsica, Sardinia, Italy and the Adriatic will be dry with spells of sunshine. Showers will develop across Greece and Turkey, some of these becoming heavy, especially in Northern Turkey.
France, the Low Countries, Germany and Switzerland will be dry with some sunshine. Austria and Poland may have isolated light showers but then the risk of showers increases to the south and east, across to the Black Sea coast.
Further rain pushes into the north and west of Scandinavia, where it will become windy. Sunny intervals and showers for Finland and the Baltic States but Denmark will remain dry.
Little change temperature-wise, with southern and central areas retaining the warmth but it will stay colder in the north.